Noah here. If the name Punnet rings a bell, it’s probably from high school biology class. Punnet Squares are the four-box diagrams that were used to explain dominant and recessive genes. They look something like this:
The guy behind them was named Reginald Punnett. He was a British geneticist and professor and, of interest to me, the inventor of a breed of auto-sexing chickens.
Why is this interesting?
It turns out it’s hard to discern the sex of chickens at birth, which is obviously important if you’re raising the birds and want to focus on egg-layers. Punnet, with his understanding of genetics, had a theory that he could cross breeds and use the resulting plumage patterns to distinguish between males and females. After World War I, he received backing from the National Poultry Institute in the UK and started working on an “auto-sexing” chicken. He introduced the Cambar and later the Legbar chicken breeds, which both allowed for easy distinguishing between males and female chicks using the patterns in their plumage.
Unfortunately, Punnet’s chickens didn’t have some of the qualities farmers were looking for, and plumage-based auto-sexing lost out to a Japanese method of distinguishing the sex of chicks using hard-to-describe—and even harder to spot—patterns in their reproductive organs.
It’s one hundred years on from Punnet’s Cambar, and we still haven’t figured out a great way to discern the sex of baby chickens. Here’s the opening to a fantastic Pacific Standard article on the subject from 2018:
"A chicken," says Jacqueline Jacob, a poultry science expert with the University of Kentucky, "does not have a penis." With this choice anatomical fact clarified, the context was set for me to better understand the egg industry's greatest logistical challenge, one that is faced seconds after a chick hatches: determining its sex. Virtually every link in the supply chain for hens, from genetics to the size and color of their eggs, is measured and automated with obsessive precision. The egg industry in the United States depends on streamlined industrialized efficiency—agricultural economists call it an "egg complex"—to generate over 100 billion eggs from more than 370 million hens a year. It does so through highly consolidated operations that house, in most cases, over a million birds at a time, relying on advanced technological systems for everything from collecting to washing to grading and sorting. It's an ambitious endeavor that ranks the U.S. behind only China as the largest egg supplier in the world. Yet the most essential element in this massive and mechanized operation—figuring out if the hatched bird is biologically suited to lay eggs—relies on the vagaries of human eyesight. A chicken sexer—the industry's secret weapon—eyeballs the nearly identical genitalia of male and female hatchlings and, in an instant, makes the call.
The giant poultry industry runs on the abilities of these “sexers.” And the best are amazing at their jobs: able to sort one thousand chicks per hour with 98% accuracy. They do this by examining the baby’s vents: a hole that handles both waste and egg-laying. Where things get weird is that sexers can’t explain exactly what they’re looking for once they get eyes on the underside. The magic of chicken sexing is that it’s almost entirely instinctual. Here’s how Joshua Foer described it in his book Moonwalking with Einstein:
“What makes chicken sexing such a captivating subject—the reason that academic philosophers and cognitive psychologists have authored dissertations about it, and the reason that my own research into memory had brought me to this arcane skill—is that even the best professional sexers can’t describe how they determine gender in the toughest, most ambiguous cases. Their art is inexplicable. They say that within three seconds they just “know” whether a bird is a boy or a girl, but they can’t say how they know. Even when carefully cross-examined by researchers, they can’t give reasons why one bird is a male and another is female. What they have, they say, is intuition. In some fundamental sense, the expert chicken sexer perceives the world—at least the world of chicken privates—in a way that is completely different from you or me. When they look at a chick’s bottom, they see things that a normal person simply does not see. What does chicken sexing have to do with my memory? Everything.”
In some ways, chicken sexing belongs in the same category as riding a bike (or, according to some, oyster shucking): You can’t ever really learn how to do it; you can only learn to do it. This sort of problem—distinguishing the instinctual patterns seen only with the greatest expertise—seems like a perfect match for machine learning, so I wouldn’t be surprised if someday in the future we saw chicken sexers sadly lose their jobs to computers. But for now, instinct appears to be more effective than any algorithm. (NRB)
Quick Links:
[Not really sponsored link] Over at the Variance blog I wrote about using data to identify buyer roles in a sales process. If that’s of interest to you, also check out some of the stuff we’ve been writing about how to modernize MEDDIC. (NRB)
Rick’s boomerang theory of war media resonated with me. Mainly, that, despite lots of commentary to the contrary, “It is feeling very, very hard to get up-to-the-minute, accurate information about this war.” (NRB)
The Definitive Guide that You Never Wanted: Backpack Fabrics (NRB)
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Very interesting, thank you! One quibble, though: Unlikely AI will be used for sexing chicks; rather, various scientific methods are now being developed (some reportedly already showing 95+% reliability) to do the sexing in ovo, which will eliminate the need for sex determination post-hatching and will avoid the current practice of destroying en masse all the chicks the human sexers do not identify as pullets.